tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19573297.post5257434601628220872..comments2024-01-16T03:24:26.796-05:00Comments on Piri' Miri Muli': Ian Keenanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16596558654735506132noreply@blogger.comBlogger1125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19573297.post-84718085566793529682008-09-03T14:55:00.000-04:002008-09-03T14:55:00.000-04:00this is what I wrote on Al Giordano's blog the nig...this is what I wrote on Al Giordano's blog the night she was picked:<BR/><BR/>McCain is well aware that he called out the conservative right in 2000 and feels the need to accede to Rush Limbaugh’s threats, but what may be in the back of his mind is his advocacy of the immigration bill. For the Republicans on Wall Street that wanted the bill, Palin is the source of a lot of long sighs and dry martinis. The Republican opponents of the bill are the guys who think she jumped out of a Christmas tree, and they, also social conservatives, will provide a little more organizational enthusiasm on account of her.<BR/><BR/>This will lead to a consolidation of Obama’s support among the high earners and college educated voters. Where Palin may help McCain is among the women over 50 without a college that kept voting for Hillary in large margins. However, some discussions I've had today suggest older woman think Palin is Deborah Norville taking over Katie Couric's Today Show job.. the young, attractive, less qualified woman taking a job that Liz Dole and Olympia Snowe were more qualified for -- which will surely turn many off.<BR/><BR/>The argument against Palin is:<BR/><BR/>1. Palin is a radical social conservative: she’s Anita Bryant, not Meg Ryan;<BR/><BR/>2. McCain picked her for political reasons, not because he thought she would be the best president. McCain’s politicization of the pick and overall judgement reflects badly on his governing skills.<BR/><BR/>Any major gaffe or inability to express depth of understanding of an issue will hurt McCain considerably. For her to ace this test, the journalists that have covered her that say she’s light on the issues have to be proved wrong.<BR/><BR/>Although this was a headache in the news cycle after the momentum of last night, it may prove more helpful for Obama’s campaign than any day of the DNC.<BR/><BR/>note: I forgot about Geena Davis.. probably a better name to use than Meg Ryan. The Snowe line started others talking on that tangent.Ian Keenanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16596558654735506132noreply@blogger.com